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Apakah itu kalendar ekonomi?
Kalendar ekonomi, juga dikenali sebagai kalendar ekonomi Forex atau Kalendar FX, adalah perkakas yang membolehkan para pedagang membuat analisis asas mengenai pasaran kewangan berdasarkan berita ekonomi. Anda boleh melihat senarai peristiwa-peristiwa makroekonomi yang mampu menggerakkan pasaran dan membuat keputusan perdagangan Forex berdasarkan data.
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Apakah data yang terkandung di dalam kalendar ekonomi?
Kalendar ekonomi mengandungi maklumat mengenai acara-acara ekonomi yang utama, serta berita-berita politik dan kesannya terhadap pasaran Forex. Semua acara atau peristiwa kewangan ini digunakan sebagai indikator ekonomi.
Kalendar peristiwa ekonomi juga menunjukkan waktu dan tarikh bila data indikator diterbitkan, matawang yang dijangka terkesan, dan tahap impak setiap indikator. Sebilangan besar indikator mempunyai nilai angka, yang dinyatakan dalam bentuk peratusan atau nilai matawang. Ia mencerminkan impak suatu indikator, sama ada positif atau negatif.
Kalendar ekonomi forex kami mempunyai tiga lajur untuk menunjukkan nilai indikator ekonomi: Sebelum, Unjuran, dan Sebenar:
- Sebelum menunjukkan nilai indikator pada tempoh sebelum ini (biasanya, satu bulan atau satu tahun);
- Unjuran menunjukkan anggaran nilai indikator berdasarkan tinjauan ke atas 20-240 ahli ekonomi;
- Sebenar adalah nilai yang diterbitkan oleh sumber rasmi seperti agensi statistik kebangsaan atau pusat analisis.
Kami juga menyediakan maklumat tambahan mengenai indikator dan graf yang menunjukkan perubahan nilai mengikut bulan atau tahun – klik indikator yang anda minati untuk ketahui lebih lanjut.
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Bagaimana cara membaca kalendar ekonomi?
Kadang-kadang bilangan peristiwa ekonomi pada satu-satu masa terlalu banyak. Oleh itu, pertama sekali, pastikan anda menggunakan saringan untuk melihat petunjuk yang paling relevan untuk perdagangan Forex anda. Sebagai contoh, anda boleh pilih hanya matawang yang anda rancang untuk dagangkan, atau saring berdasarkan impak indikator.
Di bahagian atas kalendar perdagangan Forex kami, pilih zon masa yang sesuai.
Gunakan nilai angka indikator untuk mentafsir perubahan pasaran. Inilah sebabnya mengapa angka unjuran dan pengumuman sebenar sangat penting. Bandingkan nombor-nombor berkenaan: jika nilai Sebenar lebih besar daripada unjuran, ini bagus untuk matawang dan kemungkinan harganya akan naik; jika nilai Sebenar lebih rendah daripada Unjuran, ia berkemungkinan akan turun.
Anda boleh terapkan logik yang sama ke atas nilai Sebelum dan Unjuran sebelum data sebenar dikeluarkan, tetapi hati-hati – unjuran biasanya berdasarkan data awalan (preliminary) dan angka sebenar mungkin berbeza secara drastik.
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Apa indikator ekonomi yang ada?
Indikator ekonomi adalah acara atau peristiwa ekonomi penting yang digunakan untuk mentaksir peluang pelaburan dalam perdagangan Forex. Ia lazimnya acara atau peristiwa ekonomi makro yang mempengaruhi matawang dan harga saham.
Indikator ada yang bersifat duluan ("leading", meramalkan perubahan akan datang), berkebetulan ("concident", menunjukkan keadaan ekonomi semasa suatu kawasan tertentu) dan lat ("lagging", mengesahkan pola dan trend).
Indikator ekonomi paling utama:
- The US Treasury Yield Curve – menunjukkan nisbah antara bil Perbendaharaan jangka pendek dan bon Perbendaharaan jangka panjang. Indikator ini telah meramalkan lapan kemelesetan ekonomi yang besar di tahun-tahun kebelakangan dengan cemerlang sekali.
- KDNK (Keluaran Dalam Negara Kasar) – salah satu metrik terpenting bagi kemantapan ekonomi. Ini adalah petunjuk yang lat, menunjukkan apa yang telah berlaku, tetapi ia boleh menjadi indikator yang cemerlang untuk kemelesetan ekonomi yang akan datang.
- Kadar Pengangguran – peratusan orang yang mencari pekerjaan, dan ia juga menunjukkan betapa mantapnya pasaran buruh dan ekonomi.
- Kadar Faedah – satu lagi indikator lat yang menunjukkan kadar pertumbuhan ekonomi. Ini boleh mempengaruhi KDNK dan inflasi, jadi berhati-hatilah dengan indikator ini.
Ini hanya sebahagian dari beberapa indikator yang penting. Pastikan untuk mengikuti pelan perdagangan harian dari penganalisis FBS kami untuk mengetahui lebih lanjut mengenai acara dan peristiwa perdagangan semasa dan bagaimana ia akan mempengaruhi perdagangan Forex anda.
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Bagaimana cara berdagang sempena berita?
Acara kewangan biasanya sudah dijadualkan awal-awal lagi. Biasanya ramalan dibuat sebelum pengumuman (lajur Unjuran di kalendar berita Forex kami) tentang bagaimana ia akan mempengaruhi pasaran. Sebilangan pedagang memilih untuk membuka posisi berdasarkan pada jangkaan laporan indikator ekonomi: jika mereka menjangkakan indikator tertentu akan menaikkan kadar tukaran matawang, mereka akan membeli, dan begitulah sebaliknya. Pedagang lain tidak suka dengan pergerakan harga yang terlalu pantas semasa indikator diumumkan, jadi mereka mejauhkan diri dari kalendar FX dan perdagangan sempena berita.
Terdapat banyak strategi untuk berdagang sempena berita: anda harus menggunakan strategi yang anda rasa paling sesuai untuk gaya perdagangan anda. FBS, selain daripada menyediakan semua perkhidmatan yang diperlukan untuk perdagangan, juga menyediakan semua maklumat penting untuk apa jua keperluan pedagang. Lihat bahagian seksyen kami untuk memantau kemungkinan pergerakan di pasaran.
Walaupun anda bukan orang yang berdagang sempena berita, anda masih wajar memeriksa kalendar ekonomi perdagangan atau membaca tentang peristiwa ekonomi semasa secara berkala kerana ia berkemungkinan tinggi akan mempengaruhi kemeruapan pasaran.
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Adakah kalendar ekonomi dikemas kini secara masa nyata?
Kalendar acara ekonomi utama kami dikemas kini secara automatik sejurus laporan disiarkan. FBS sentiasa ada untuk memberikan kemas kini kalendar ekonomi tepat pada masanya, namun kami tidak boleh dipertanggungjawabkan di atas kelewatan justeru dari sifat aliran peristiwa berita perdagangan yang tidak menentu.
Kalendar Ekonomi
Senarai keluaran ekonomi yang penting
Masa
Kesan
Mata wang
Acara
Sebelumnya
Ramalan
Sebenar
May 07, 2024
07:00
CHF
Foreign Exchange Reserves
{previous}
CHF715.132B
{forecast}
{actual}
In Switzerland, Foreign Exchange Reserves are the foreign assets held or controlled by the country central bank. The reserves are made of gold or a specific currency. They can also be special drawing rights and marketable securities denominated in foreign currencies like treasury bills, government bonds, corporate bonds and equities and foreign currency loans.
07:30
EUR
HCOB Construction PMI
{previous}
41
{forecast}
{actual}
Data are collected at mid-month, asking respondents to compare a variety of business conditions with the situation one month ago. A reading of below 50.0 indicates that the economy is generally declining, above 50.0 that it is generally expanding and exactly 50.0 indicates no change on the level recorded the previous month.
07:30
EUR
HCOB Construction PMI
{previous}
38.3
{forecast}
{actual}
The Germany Construction Purchasing Managers’ Index® is based on original survey data collected from a representative panel of over 200 companies based in the German construction sector. Data are collected at mid-month, asking respondents to compare a variety of construction conditions with the situation one month ago. A reading of below 50.0 indicates that the construction activity is generally declining, above 50.0 that it is generally expanding and exactly 50.0 indicates no change on the level recorded the previous month.
07:30
EUR
HCOB Construction PMI
{previous}
42.4
{forecast}
{actual}
Data are collected at mid-month, asking respondents to compare a variety of business conditions with the situation one month ago. A reading of below 50.0 indicates that the economy is generally declining, above 50.0 that it is generally expanding and exactly 50.0 indicates no change on the level recorded the previous month.
08:00
GBP
New Car Sales YoY
{previous}
10.4%
{forecast}
{actual}
08:00
CNY
Foreign Exchange Reserves
{previous}
$3.246T
{forecast}
$3.23T
{actual}
In China, Foreign Exchange Reserves are the foreign assets held or controlled by the country central bank. The reserves are made of gold or a specific currency. They can also be special drawing rights and marketable securities denominated in foreign currencies like treasury bills, government bonds, corporate bonds and equities and foreign currency loans.
08:30
GBP
S&P Global/CIPS Construction PMI
{previous}
{forecast}
{actual}
In the United Kingdom, the Markit / Chartered Institute of Purchasing and Supply Purchasing Managers Index measures the performance of the construction sector and is derived from a survey of 170 construction companies.
08:30
GBP
S&P Global Construction PMI
{previous}
50.2
{forecast}
50.4
{actual}
In the United Kingdom, the Markit / Chartered Institute of Purchasing and Supply Purchasing Managers Index measures the performance of the construction sector and is derived from a survey of 170 construction companies.
09:00
SGD
Foreign Exchange Reserves
{previous}
S$497.3B
{forecast}
{actual}
In Singapore, Foreign Exchange Reserves are the foreign assets held or controlled by the country central bank. The reserves are made of gold or a specific currency. They can also be special drawing rights and marketable securities denominated in foreign currencies like treasury bills, government bonds, corporate bonds and equities and foreign currency loans.
09:00
EUR
Retail Sales MoM
{previous}
-0.5%
{forecast}
0.6%
{actual}
In the Euro Area, retail sales show the evolution of the total amount of goods sold. Among them, food drinks and tobacco account for the highest share (39.3 percent); followed by electrical goods and furniture (12.0 percent share); computer equipment books and other (11.4 percent share); pharmaceutical and medical goods (9.9 percent share); textiles, clothing, footwear (9.2 percent share); auto fuel (9.1 percent share); other non-food products (6.0 percent share) and mail orders and internet (2.9 percent share). Among countries, Germany has the highest weight (25.9 percent), followed by France (21.7 percent), Italy (16.1 percent) and Spain (11.4 percent). Others are Netherlands (5.2 percent); Belgium (4.3 percent); Greece (3.0 percent); Austria (2.8 percent); Portugal (2.4 percent); Finland (1.8 percent); Ireland (1.7 percent); Luxembourg and Slovakia (0.8 percent each); Slovenia (0.6 percent); Lithuania (0.4 percent); Latvia and Cyprus (0.3 percent); Estonia (0.2 percent) and Malta (0.1 percent).
09:00
EUR
Retail Sales YoY
{previous}
-0.7%
{forecast}
{actual}
In the Euro Area, retail sales show the evolution of the total amount of goods sold. Among them, food drinks and tobacco account for the highest share (39.3 percent); followed by electrical goods and furniture (12.0 percent share); computer equipment books and other (11.4 percent share); pharmaceutical and medical goods (9.9 percent share); textiles, clothing, footwear (9.2 percent share); auto fuel (9.1 percent share); other non-food products (6.0 percent share) and mail orders and internet (2.9 percent share). Among countries, Germany has the highest weight (25.9 percent), followed by France (21.7 percent), Italy (16.1 percent) and Spain (11.4 percent). Others are Netherlands (5.2 percent); Belgium (4.3 percent); Greece (3.0 percent); Austria (2.8 percent); Portugal (2.4 percent); Finland (1.8 percent); Ireland (1.7 percent); Luxembourg and Slovakia (0.8 percent each); Slovenia (0.6 percent); Lithuania (0.4 percent); Latvia and Cyprus (0.3 percent); Estonia (0.2 percent) and Malta (0.1 percent).
12:00
MXN
Consumer Confidence
{previous}
47.3
{forecast}
{actual}
In Mexico, the Consumer Confidence Index (ICC) measures the current perception and future expectations that people have about their economic situation, their family and the country in general, in respect to the purchase of consumption durables and non-durables, as well as employment, inflation and savings. The index is based on a sample of 2336 households located in the 32 major cities of the country. The ICC has a base of 100 as of January of 2003, levels above 100 indicate optimism, 100 neutrality and below 100 pessimism.
12:00
MXN
Auto Exports YoY
{previous}
4.9%
{forecast}
{actual}
In Mexico, auto exports refers to total exports of vehicles.
12:00
MXN
Auto Production YoY
{previous}
-12.8%
{forecast}
{actual}
In Mexico, Car Production refers to total production of vehicles.
12:30
GBP
BoE Hall Speech
{previous}
{forecast}
{actual}
In the United Kingdom, benchmark interest rate is set by the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC). The Bank of England official interest rate is the repo rate. This repo rate applies to open market operations of the Bank of England with a group of counterparties (banks, building societies, securities firms).
12:55
USD
Redbook YoY
{previous}
5.5%
{forecast}
{actual}
The Johnson Redbook Index is a sales-weighted of year-over-year same-store sales growth in a sample of large US general merchandise retailers representing about 9,000 stores. Same-store sales are sales in stores continuously open for 12 months or longer. By dollar value, the Index represents over 80% of the equivalent 'official' retail sales series collected and published by the US Department of Commerce. Redbook compiles the Index by collecting and interpreting performance estimates from retailers. The Index and its sub-groups are sales-weighted aggregates of these estimates. Weeks are retail weeks (Sunday to Saturday), and equally weighted within the month.
13:00
USD
Used Car Prices YoY
{previous}
-14.7%
{forecast}
{actual}
The Manheim Used Vehicle Value Index is a measure of used vehicle prices in the US which fall into one of the 20 market classes (i.e., excludes heavy trucks, motorcycles, etc). Manheim applies statistical analysis to its database of more than 5 million used vehicle transactions annually. The per-mile adjustment is based on a simple linear regression for price and miles for each market class based on data for the current month The Index is weighted based on a 24-month rolling average of past sales by market class.
13:00
USD
Used Car Prices MoM
{previous}
-0.4%
{forecast}
{actual}
The Manheim Used Vehicle Value Index is a measure of used vehicle prices in the US which fall into one of the 20 market classes (i.e., excludes heavy trucks, motorcycles, etc). Manheim applies statistical analysis to its database of more than 5 million used vehicle transactions annually. The per-mile adjustment is based on a simple linear regression for price and miles for each market class based on data for the current month The Index is weighted based on a 24-month rolling average of past sales by market class.
14:00
USD
RCM/TIPP Economic Optimism Index
{previous}
43.2
{forecast}
44.1
{actual}
IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism Index measures Americans' opinions and outlooks on the economy. The index is based on a nationwide survey of 900 adults and evaluates six-month economic outlook, personal financial outlook, confidence in federal economic policies. Reading above 50 indicates optimism, and below 50 indicates pessimism.
14:00
CAD
Ivey PMI s.a
{previous}
57.5
{forecast}
58.1
{actual}
The Ivey Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) is an economic index which measures the month to month variation in economic activity as indicated by a panel of purchasing managers from across Canada, and is prepared by the Ivey Business School at Western University. The PMI includes both the public and private sectors and is based on month end data Ivey PMI panel members indicate whether their organizations activity is higher than, the same as, or lower than the previous month across the following five categories: purchases, employment, inventories, supplier deliveries and prices.A headline value above 50 indicates an increase in purchases from the previous month and a value below 50 indicates a decrease.
